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Session: Demography and Environment
Chaired By: Dale Manning, Colorado State University
When & Where: 2nd July 2014, 16:15 - 18:00, Room 9
Presented By: Dale Manning, Colorado State University
Co-Author(s): J. Edward Taylor, UC-Davis and Katrina Jessoe, UC-Davis

Downloads: Full Paper [651 kb]

This paper evaluates the effects of annual fluctuations in temperature and precipitation on labor allocation in rural Mexico. We use a 28-year individual panel dataset to investigate how people adjust their sector and location of work in response to year-to-year variation in weather. Controlling for state-year and individual fixed effects, we find that individuals are less likely to work locally in years with a high occurrence of extreme heat. This reduction in labor occurs for both agricultural and non-agricultural jobs, with larger reductions among wage workers. Extreme heat early in the year or for individuals located close to the U.S. border increases the likelihood that individuals respond by migrating to the United States. These results provide an important example of how climate change might impact rural labor markets in developing countries. As households and individuals react to an increase in frequency of high temperatures, rural Mexicans will likely face diminishing local work opportunities and seek employment in other areas of Mexico, and potentially, the United States.

   

All Papers in this Session

CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND MIGRATION: EVIDENCE FROM TANZANIA

Presented by Zaneta Kubik, University of Paris 1 Pantheon Sorbonne

WEATHER CHANGE, AGRICULTURE, AND INTERNAL MIGRATION IN PAKISTAN

Presented by Heman Lohano, South Asian Network for Development and Environmental Economics (SANDEE)

AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY, FACTOR REALLOCATION, AND INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION IN THE SHORT RUN: EVIDENCE FROM INDIA

Presented by Jonathan Colmer, London School of Economics

CLIMATE CHANGE AND LABOR MARKETS IN RURAL MEXICO: EVIDENCE FROM ANNUAL FLUCTUATIONS IN WEATHER

Presented by Dale Manning, Colorado State University

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