LONG-RUN INTERGENERATIONAL SOCIAL MOBILITY AND THE DISTRIBUTION OF SURNAMES

Friday 16 December 2011, 11:15 - 13:00

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Session: INEQUALITY AND POVERTY II
Chaired By: M. Dolores Collado, Universidad de Alicante
When & Where: Friday 16 December 2011, 11:15 - 13:00, Room 26
Presented By: M. Dolores Collado, Universidad de Alicante
Co-Author(s): Ignacio Ortuño-Ortín, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid and Andrés Romeu, Universidad de Murcia

We develop a novel methodology to analyze intergenerational social mobility over long period of times when the precise ancestors of the individuals cannot be identified. Our approach is based on the incorporation of surnames in the analysis of social mobility. We apply our methodology to asses the degree of intergenerational social mobility within two Spanish regions from the late 19th century to the beginning of the 21st century. The results show that the probability of having a high education level, or belonging to a high status socioeconomic group, still depends on the socioeconomic status of the great-great-grandparents. However, our analysis suggests that such dependence will vanish in the next-to-present generation.

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